WATHMORE

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes 87% · No 14% View full market & trade on Polymarket Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 27% · No 74% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8? Yes 33% · No 68% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026? Yes 70% · No 31% View full market & trade on Polymarket Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026? Yes 74% · No 26% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026? Yes 55% · No 46% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? Yes 76% · No 25% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 20% · No 81% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Sam Altman in jail by June 30? Yes 2% · No 98% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes 20% · No 81% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk? Yes 70% · No 30% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? Yes 14% · No 87% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 74% · No 27% View full market & trade on Polymarket Over $250k committed to the Printr public sale? Yes 98% · No 2% View full market & trade on Polymarket

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4? Yes 55% · No 45% View full market & trade on Polymarket Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4? Yes 85% · No 16% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May? Yes 11% · No 90% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $104 in May? Yes 50% · No 50% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.50 in May? Yes 49% · No 52% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? Yes 22% · No 78% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May? Yes 51% · No 49% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May? Yes 15% · No 85% View full market & trade on Polymarket

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? Yes 97% · No 3% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026? Yes 8% · No 93% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28? Yes 83% · No 17% View full market & trade on Polymarket Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28? Yes 51% · No 50% View full market & trade on Polymarket Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28? Yes 75% · No 26% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $56B? Yes 45% · No 55% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes 12% · No 89% View full market & trade on Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes 17% · No 84% View full market & trade on Polymarket

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026? Yes 36% · No 65% View full market & trade on Polymarket

FDA approves Axsome Therapeutics' AXS-05? Yes 72% · No 28% View full market & trade on Polymarket FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa? Yes 0% · No 100% View full market & trade on Polymarket FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)? Yes 25% · No 75% View full market & trade on Polymarket FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant? Yes 26% · No 74% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? Yes 45% · No 56% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? Yes 9% · No 91% View full market & trade on Polymarket

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes 3% · No 97% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes 8% · No 93% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will X-Energy’s market cap be less than $6B at market close on IPO day? Yes 45% · No 55% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes 74% · No 27% View full market & trade on Polymarket

OpenAI acquired before 2027? Yes 11% · No 89% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 91% · No 9% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? Yes 6% · No 94% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes 32% · No 68% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026? Yes 25% · No 75% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1? Yes 99% · No 1% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 90% · No 11% View full market & trade on Polymarket

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? Yes 79% · No 21% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026? Yes 0% · No 100% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes 36% · No 65% View full market & trade on Polymarket Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes 57% · No 43% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes 12% · No 88% View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes 80% · No 21% View full market & trade on Polymarket